- Yesterday was a very bad expiry for many traders. Markets were very volatile. Nifty and banknifty was swinging on either side.
- But this was expected on a monthly expiry day. Frankly speaking, I was not surprised. I would have been surprised if it was not like that.
- Luckily, I was not caught in the fights between bulls and bears. I was able to make a profit of 1 lakh 20 thousand (MTM). My intraday expiry profit was around 90 thousand. Rest was positional trades.
- I was a bit bullish all these days. I had hopes that the market would recover. But there is no sign of that happening.
- That's why I tell people not to take my advice because 90% of the time my suggestions don't work.
- Now I have started to believe that markets are entering a bear market. But I will start taking trades if 200DMA is broken.
- I still strongly feel that 200 DMA will be strong support. Let's see. I have all rights to be wrong.
- We have RBI policy on 7th.
- Shorting now will now be riskier as we are oversold.
- My portfolio which majorly has HDFC twins, bajaj twins, reliance, REC, PFC are bleeding now. But that's ok. I still have room for that. I am anyway hedging them in the derivatives market.
- Markets have fallen for 6 consecutive trades. We may see some covering in this week.
INTERNATIONAL MARKET
- Yesterday the US markets were also bleeding. DOW lost 0.5% and NASDAQ lost more than a per cent.
- The European markets also closed in the red.
- Today morning the Asian markets are also in the red. SGX is flat.
- Last few weeks when the international markets were good, we underperformed. Now they are down. Will be to consolidate or will we fall more is a million $ question.
FII AND DII DATA
- Yesterdays volatility was due to expiry and positions covering. It was clear as FII sold only 126cr and DII bought for 400 cr.
- The DII are supporting the market in a big time. They are buying more than the FII are selling.
CRUDE AND $
- $ is now at Rs 69.
- Crude is trading at $63.39
- So crude and $ are in favour of India.
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