Trade setup for 11th Feb



Sorry for not coming out with video and blog for last 2 days as I was down with fewer. Now I am fine. Today yo will get the video and the answer to the question which I had asked before. 

Yesterday we had a event and weekly expiry. There was a wonderful rally in the market as RBI did not change any thing. There was not even a single analyst who could guess this. All expected atleast somehting to change, but thats how markets are. 

The best part is that the RBI is forcasting that the inflation will fall going forward. The markets definitely likes this and market shot up. 

But this was not the case in the US. In the US the inflation report was red hot and the yeilds shot up drastically. The US inflation shot up 7.5% from past year which was more than expected and highest in 40 years. So now it is obvious that FED will be acting soon.

As soon as this happend, the world markets collapesed. Dow and nasdaq fell drastically. So the sentiment now is negative.

I did not trade till the RBI policy was over but then I took some short straddles and was able to make a decent profit.

We have 10 more days for this monthly series and it will be intersting to see if we will break the 16500 low or will we be above 18k. Yesterday's macro data of the US makes me feel that we may head lower.

Crude oil is falling and I assume that nothing much is happening in the Russia-Ukareine front. Now the leaders are sitting at the table for discussion, so the probability of the attach is most unlikely. So you can consider this as a even which is over.

The new age companies are still in the loss. Zomato, paytm losses widens.

Today Hero will be reacting to numbers.

MY TRADES

  1. Yesterday I controlled myself from trading intraday in the morning as there was a event. Then in the second half, I exeuted some straddles and managed them to make a decent profit.
  2. Today I will be executing the below trade as a counter to the trades which I have taken in the 
    1. +1 X 17700ce
    2. -3 X 18000ce
    3. -3 X 18100ce
  3. Today I will be selling more PE in stocks and will take delivery if they become ITM.
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
  1. The US markets closed in the red. Dow fell more than 500 points and nasdaq fell 300+ points. The US futures are also in the red.
  2. Europe was mixed and almost flat as the US macro data came after they closed.
  3. Today the Asian markets are in the red. SGX is down 200 points.
CRUDE AND $
  1. Crude is falling but it is still above 90. Yesterday it was at $91
  2. $ is at Rs 74.5
FII AND DII
  1. FII selling is not stopping. They sold for 1700+cr and DII bought for 2700+cr

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