Trade setup for 18th Feb



 Now again the Russian saga has started. Biden makes a remark that Russia may invade Ukraine. This sparked volatility and Dow fell more than 500 points in yesterday's trade. I personally don't think this is happening on the ground. It's just these politicians passing comments to increase the diplomatic pressure. This is because crude oil fell in yesterday's trade. Crude oil will be the first to react if there was an escalation. But stock markets just need some news to be volatile. So today if there is a huge gap down then I will go long aggressively as there will be recovery.

There are some pro-Russian people in Ukraine who have attacked a village in Ukraine.  Maybe this was done by Russia but now Russia will be using indirect ways only because attacking directly will not be that easy.

Green energy policy has been unveiled and it has benefitted many companies, especially from the Adani group.

The US says that a nuclear deal might be possible with Iran.

FED is telling that they want to increase the rates but that will happen gradually and they are not in a hurry. So it looks like an indication that the first-rate hike will be within 25bps. 

MY TRADES

  1. Today I will be executing the below trade if there is a gap down which may not happen, just in case
    1. +1 X 17000pe
    2. -10 X 16800pe
    3. -10 X 16700pe
  2. I will be executing the below trade today and I will manage if things are to go wrong in the next week
    1. -1 X 17400ce
    2. -1 X 17400pe
  3. My budget trade which I took is in wonderful profit and the ITC trade which I took is in a minor loss. I may have to deploy more funds to protect this. I am thinking of not deploying more but close them by putting a SL. Lets see. 
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
  1. Dow fell 600 points and nasdaq lost around 3%
  2. Europe also closed in the red
  3. Today the Asian markets are in the red. But there has been a sharp recovery from the morning and the US futures are in the green.
CRUDE AND $
  1. Crude is at $92 and $ is at Rs 75
  2. Crude fell as there was some progress in Iran-US nuclear deal and the Russian news did not have any impact on this.
FII AND DII
  1. Nothing new here. FII are again selling
  2. They sold for 1200cr and DII bought for 900cr

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